一种GMM-KL动态预测集成电路测试设备稳定性的方法
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安庆师范大学电子信息与集成电路学院安徽246133

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TH707

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国家自然科学基金面上项目(62474002)、国家自然科学基金重大研究计划项目(92573109)资助


A GMM-KL dynamic prediction method for the stability of integrated circuit testing equipment
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School of Electronic Information and Integrated Circuit, Anhui 246133, China

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    摘要:

    随着集成电路测试精度要求的不断提高,测试设备自身的长期运行稳定性已成为影响测试质量与成本的关键因素。传统基于固定置信水平阈值的监测方法因其静态特性,难以适应设备在长期运行中因老化、环境波动等引起的性能动态漂移,常导致误报或漏报,制约了预测性维护的实现。为此,提出一种融合高斯混合模型(GMM)与KL散度的动态阈值优化监测方法。该方法首先利用GMM对测试数据的多模态分布进行精确建模,有效刻画设备在复杂多工况下的运行状态;进而引入KL散度实时量化监测数据与健康基准模型之间的分布差异;在此基础上,创新性地基于历史KL散度序列滚动更新异常判定阈值,使阈值能够随数据分布的自然漂移而自适应调整。这一机制从根本上克服了静态阈值与动态过程之间的失配问题,提升了监测系统对缓慢性能退化与突发异常的感知能力。实验结果表明,相较于传统的K均值聚类固定阈值方法,所提方法在异常检测准确率与F1分数上均取得显著提升,能够更灵敏、可靠地识别测试设备的性能波动与早期故障。该方法不仅为集成电路测试设备的稳定性监测与预测性维护提供了有效技术手段,其通过概率建模感知分布变化并实现阈值自适应的核心框架,也具备向其他工业装备健康管理领域推广的潜力。该框架通用性强,为动态运行环境下的设备状态监控提供了具备持续适应能力的新思路。

    Abstract:

    With the increasing precision requirements for integrated circuit testing, the long-term operational stability of the test equipment has become a key factor affecting test quality and cost. Traditional monitoring methods based on fixed confidence-level thresholds, due to their static nature, struggle to adapt to the performance drift caused by aging and environmental fluctuations during long-term operation. As a result, they often suffer from false alarms or missed detections, which hinders the implementation of predictive maintenance. To address this issue, a dynamic threshold optimization monitoring method integrating Gaussian mixture model (GMM) and Kullback-Leibler divergence (KL divergence) is proposed. This method first uses a GMM to accurately model the multimodal distribution of test data, effectively characterizing the equipment′s operational state under complex multi-condition scenarios. It then introduces KL Divergence to quantify in real-time the distribution difference between the monitoring data and the healthy baseline model. Building on this, it innovatively updates the anomaly detection threshold based on a rolling historical KL Divergence sequence, allowing the threshold to adaptively adjust according to the natural drift in data distribution. This mechanism fundamentally overcomes the mismatch between static thresholds and dynamic processes, enhancing the monitoring system′s sensitivity to both gradual performance degradation and sudden anomalies. Experimental results show that compared to the traditional K-means clustering method with a fixed threshold, the proposed method achieves significant improvements in both anomaly detection accuracy and F1-score, enabling more sensitive and reliable identification of performance fluctuations and early-stage faults in test equipment. This method not only provides an effective technical solution for stability monitoring and predictive maintenance of integrated circuit test equipment, but also holds potential for extension to other industrial equipment health management fields due to its core framework of sensing distribution changes through probabilistic modeling and achieving threshold self-adaptation. This framework demonstrates strong generalizability, offering a new approach with continuous adaptation capabilities for equipment condition monitoring in dynamic operational environments.

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詹文法,弥晨,胡心怡,邱野.一种GMM-KL动态预测集成电路测试设备稳定性的方法[J].仪器仪表学报,2026,47(2):105-115

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  • 在线发布日期: 2026-04-08
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